METHOD FOR ESTIMATING A HURRICANE PATH IN NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN USING FUZZY CLUSTERING METHOD

摘要

According to a proper embodiment of the present invention, a method to predict a hurricane path in the North Atlantic Ocean based on path clustering comprises: a step of classifying hurricanes occurred in a North Atlantic region in the past into hurricanes having a hurricane path length of a six-hour interval, dividing the North Atlantic region into a prescribed number of longitudes and latitudes, and displaying the hurricanes having a hurricane path length of a six-hour interval in the divided longitudes and latitudes; a step of classifying the hurricanes displayed in the longitudes and latitudes in accordance with geographical features by fuzzy clustering; a step of extracting weather features shown in the hurricanes for the geographical features by the fuzzy clustering; a step of using the fuzzy clustering to classify the hurricanes occurred in the North Atlantic region in the past into four clusters based on the geographical features and the weather features; and a step of extracting a common pattern based on the geographical features and the weather features shown in the four clusters, and extracting a prediction factor in the four clusters based on the extracted pattern.