发明名称 |
Statistical sample sequence classification method for time series data e.g. stock market |
摘要 |
The invention relates to a method of classifying a first series of statistical values having a given number of sample values, especially those of an electrical signal, by computer. A set of statistical values transmitted by a measuring signal of a dynamic system i.e. current share prices on the stock market, is modelled according to its probability density in order to provide a prediction of future values. A non-linear Markov process of the order m is suited to describe conditional probability densities. A neuronal network is trained in compliance with the probabilities of the Markov process according to the maximum likelihood principle, which is a learning rule in order to maximize the product of probabilities. For a predetermined number of values m arising from the past of the signal which is to be predicted, the neuronal network predicts a value in the future. Several steps in the future can be predicted by iteration. The order m of the non-linear Markov process acts as a parameter for improving the likelihood of the prediction. The order m corresponds to the number of past values which are important during modelling of conditional probability densities.
|
申请公布号 |
DE19643918(C1) |
申请公布日期 |
1998.02.05 |
申请号 |
DE19961043918 |
申请日期 |
1996.10.30 |
申请人 |
SIEMENS AG, 80333 MUENCHEN, DE |
发明人 |
DECO, GUSTAVO, DR., 80636 MUENCHEN, DE;SCHITTENKOPF, CHRISTIAN, DIPL.-INFORM., 81539 MUENCHEN, DE |
分类号 |
G06F15/18;G06F17/18;G06N3/00;(IPC1-7):G06F17/18;G06F17/60 |
主分类号 |
G06F15/18 |
代理机构 |
|
代理人 |
|
主权项 |
|
地址 |
|