Concurrency method for forecasting impact of speed tiers on consumption

摘要

A forecast model processes performance data from a site, e.g., a cable modem termination system (CMTS), to obtain a set of concurrency equations for existing speed tiers that is based on an observed subscriber bandwidth for the site. A new set of concurrency equations is obtained for new speed tiers so that a new subscriber bandwidth can be predicted for the new speed tiers. Based on the new subscriber bandwidth, expected subscriber growth, and changes in data consumption, the site is reconfigured with additional ports based on the forecast. This process can be repeated for the other sites. Sites may be grouped together based on the observed subscriber bandwidth. A new subscriber bandwidth may be predicted for the group with the new speed tiers so that additional ports can be configured for each of the sites in the group.

主权项

1. A method comprising:
receiving, by a computing device, an observed bandwidth usage per subscriber at each site of a plurality of sites; calculating, by the computing device, a forecasted bandwidth usage per subscriber at each of the plurality of sites; ranking the plurality of sites based at least in part on the observed bandwidth usage per subscriber at each site, resulting in ranked sites; and modifying a port configuration of a second computing device on a service provider network at a ranked site based on at least one calculated curve corresponding to the ranked sites.