Technique for projecting network load in a communication network

摘要

A technique for predicting network load in a communication network is described. For multiple subscriptions, a network load snapshot is provided. The network load snapshot comprises multiple network load records. Each network load record reflects network load caused by an associated subscription in the network at a particular point of time. Each network load record comprises at least one network load value reflecting a network load caused by the corresponding subscription and at least one network load influencing factor reflecting a parameter associated with the subscription which has the potential of influencing the network load value. The network load snapshot is transformed into a predicted network load snapshot comprising at least one predicted network load record, each predicted network load record reflecting estimated network load caused by the corresponding subscription at a particular point of time in the future. The transformation of a network load snapshot into a corresponding predicted network load snapshot is done based on both the network load values and the associated network load influencing factors.

主权项

1. A method for projecting network load in a communication network, comprising:
providing, for multiple subscriptions, a network load snapshot comprising multiple network load records, wherein each network load record reflects network load caused by an individual subscription in the network at a particular point of time, and wherein each network load record comprises at least one network load value reflecting a network load caused by the corresponding subscription and at least one network load influencing factor reflecting a parameter associated with the subscription which has the potential of influencing the network load value; transforming the network load snapshot into a projected network load snapshot comprising multiple projected network load records, each projected network load record reflecting estimated network load caused by the corresponding subscription at a particular point of time in the future, wherein transforming of the network load snapshot into the corresponding projected network load snapshot is done based on both the network load values and the associated network load influencing factors, wherein the process of transforming the network load snapshot into the corresponding projected network load snapshot is done based on one or more trending assumption parameters which reflect a future scenario affecting the network load respectively caused by the subscriptions; and modifying the network load influencing factors based on the one or more trending assumption parameters, wherein transforming the network load snapshot into the projected network load snapshot is based on the network load values and modified network load influencing factors; and operating the communication network based on projected network load snapshots; wherein the process of transforming the network load snapshot into the projected network load snapshot is done using an algorithm which is adjusted based on a comparison process which compares the projected network load snapshot with an actual network load snapshot generated at a point of time which corresponds to the point of time which is assigned to the projected network load snapshot.