FRESH PRODUCTION FORECASTING METHODS AND SYSTEMS

摘要

In some embodiments, methods and systems of forecasting consumer demand for products at fresh food departments of a grocery store include determining an actual past demand for the product by obtaining a total number of the product sold by the fresh food department in one or more weeks preceding a current week, then calculating a seasonality index for the one or more weeks, deseasonalizing the total number of the product sold in the one or more weeks based on the calculated seasonal index to obtain an initial weekly demand forecast for the product during a single week following the current week, and adding a buffer quantity of the product to the initial weekly demand forecast for the product during the single week following the current week to obtain a refined weekly demand forecast for the product for the single week following the current week.

主权项

1. A computer-implemented method of forecasting consumer demand for a product at a fresh food department of a grocery store, the method comprising:
determining, using a computing device including a processor, an actual past demand for the product by obtaining a total number of the product sold by the fresh food department in at least one week preceding a current week; calculating, using the computing device, a seasonality index for the at least one week; deseasonalizing, using the computing device, the total number of the product sold in the at least one week based on the calculated seasonal index to obtain an initial weekly demand forecast for the product during a single week following the current week; and adding, using the computing device, a buffer quantity of the product to the initial weekly demand forecast for the product during the single week following the current week to obtain a refined weekly demand forecast for the product for the single week following the current week.