| 主权项 |
1. A method for providing a consolidated estimated time of arrival in a scheduled transportation system, the method comprising:
receiving a production table that includes a scheduled location and a scheduled time of arrival at each of a plurality of stops along a route for each of a plurality of vehicles in the scheduled transportation system, which includes a plurality of routes; calculating, by a processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival for each of the plurality of vehicles at each of the stops based on the scheduled time of arrival and associating a confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival; calculating, by the processor, a risk of a passenger in the scheduled transportation system of missing a connection based on the consolidated estimated time of arrival and providing an alternative route to the passenger when the risk exceeds a threshold level; based on receiving a real-time estimated time of arrival for one or more of the plurality of vehicles for one of the stops, re-calculating, by the processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the scheduled time of arrival and the real-time estimated time of arrival and increasing the confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival; and based on receiving a predictive estimated time of arrival for one or more of the plurality of vehicles for one of the stops, re-calculating, by the processor, the consolidated estimated time of arrival based on the scheduled time of arrival, the real-time estimated time of arrival, and the predictive estimated time of arrival and increasing the confidence level with the consolidated estimated time of arrival, wherein the scheduled transportation system comprises at least two transport modalities and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is calculated based at least one of a real time data, a historical data and one or more external variables including a current weather and traffic conditions and wherein the predictive estimated time of arrival is the historical data calculated by assigning a higher weight to historical data measured in weather and traffic conditions that are comparable to current conditions given by the one or more external variables. |
