摘要 |
<p>A cyber threat forecast system for forecasting a frequency, possibility, and period of cyber threat, and a method thereof are provided to offer a forecast result to a user by forecasting a frequency, possibility, and a period of cyber threat through time series analysis method and Delphi analysis method considering various variables. An information collecting/processing module(10) collects and processes intrusion detection event information, network traffic statistics information, and cyber threat information of an Internet bulleting board, and specialist opinion information for cyber threat occurrence. A forecasting engine subsystem(120) forecasts a frequency, possibility, and a period for the cyber threat by selecting time series analysis method and Delphi analysis method according to the processed information. A result display GUI(Graphic User Interface) and managing module(110) displays a forecasting result of the forecasting engine subsystem in a screen, and changes and manages setting of the forecasting engine subsystem and an information collecting/processing module.</p> |