Wagering on event outcomes during the event

摘要

Methods and systems are provided for managing a wagering system. In one exemplary embodiment, state information of a live event such as a sports game may be received in real time. During the event, a plurality of possible future states of the event and their associated probabilities (and odds) may be determined based on the state information, historical information, and current in-game information. A betting market is created for betting on the possible future states at determined odds. The betting market is closed, and winning and losing bets are resolved based on updated state information.

主权项

1. A method, comprising:
receiving by at least one processor state information of a live event in substantially real time, in which the live event comprises a sporting event played by human players according to predetermined rules that are used to determine at least one winner of the sporting event; after a start of the sporting event, determining by the at least one processor a plurality of possible future states of the sporting event based on the state information, the possible future states occurring before an end of the sporting event; after a start of the sporting event, creating by the processor a first betting market for betting on at least one of the plurality of possible future states, in which the plurality of users comprises a first user, and in which the act of creating a first betting market comprises:
determining by the processor a probability for each of the plurality of possible future states based on probability information, in which the act of determining a probability comprises determining a probability for at least one of the plurality of possible future states based on probability information and reliability information associated with the probability information;based at least in part on the probabilities, determining by the processor odds for betting on at least one of the plurality of possible future states; andcausing information about the plurality of possible future states and the odds to be displayed to the plurality of users; after creating the first betting market, receiving by the processor from a first of a plurality of users a first bet comprising a selection of one of the plurality of possible future states; after receiving the first bet, closing by the processor the first betting market; sending from the at least one processor an instruction signal to close the first betting market; determining by the at least one processor that the possible future state selected by the first user has occurred; and causing, by the at least one processor, a payout to be paid to the first user based on the first bet and the act of determining that the possible future state selected by the first user has occurred.