| 摘要 |
FIELD: agriculture.SUBSTANCE: under this method statistical analysis is performed, it includes calculation of average long-term phenodata of taxons, average long-term phenorythmtypes in the family complex are determined, directions and values of shift of dates of phenophases of the vegetative organs are estimated. Forecast of long-term changes of phenorythmtypes is made based on data of the phenological monitoring of the dynamic of season development of the vegetative organs of the plants relating to the same family, for at least 15-20 years. Critical vegetation periods are detemined: date of frost, date and duration of dry-weather periods, repeating intervals. At that the negative forecast includes shift to earlier - with earlier start of gemmation and liner growth of spears, and to later - with later full stiffening of spears of phenorythmtypes of Pinaceae family.EFFECT: method increases efficiency of the long-term forecast of dynamic change of season development of plant, and prospectivity of their further inclusion in ex situ culture.14 tbl, 1 ex |
