SYSTEMS AND METHODS FOR PROBABILITY BASED RISK PREDICTION

摘要

Systems and methods for probability based prediction of risks are disclosed herein. In one embodiment, a method includes measuring, using sensing elements individually associated with multiple users, a first set of data associated with the users. The method also includes transmitting to and storing in a computing device the measured first set of data and applying a performance model to the first set of data to generate a first set of performance values. The method further includes estimating a second set of data associated with the one or more users and applying the performance model to the second set of data to generate a second set of performance values. The method yet further includes determining if the first and second sets of performance values are statistically equivalent to each other.

主权项

1. A method, comprising:
measuring, using sensing elements individually associated with multiple users, a first set of sleep data associated with the users operating according to a first duty schedule, the sleep data containing at least one or more of sleep starting time, sleep ending time, or time of day during sleep corresponding to each user; transmitting to and storing in a computing device the measured first set of sleep data; with the computing device,
applying, a fatigue model to the first set of sleep data to generate a first set of fatigue values;estimating a second set of sleep data associated with the users according to a second duty schedule different than the first duty schedule without subjecting the individuals to perform duties according to the second duty schedule;applying the fatigue model to the second set of sleep data to generate a second set of fatigue values; anddetermining if the second duty schedule is equivalent to the first duty schedule based on the generated first and second sets of fatigue values.