| 摘要 |
When uncertainty is present, operational activities and counterparty relationships related to such operational activities are evaluated and appropriate management actions determined by utilizing data records comprising Contingent Performance Deliverables (CPDs), where a CPD specifies a set of rights and obligations for two or more counterparties to the CPD with respect to operational activities of the counterparties, wherein the rights and obligations are defined over a set of uncertain potential future events (SPFE). Analysis is conducted to assess relevant sources of uncertainty, and to determine appropriate actions under the operational activities, counterparty relationships, and CPD rights and obligations across such sources of uncertainty. After the actions are determined, their impact on the operational activities and counterparty relationships, and on associated performance measures, is determined across the sources of uncertainty. Management of the operational activities and counterparty relationships is improved by utilizing the actions determined and the data generated on the future impact of such actions on operational activities and counterparty relationships subject to uncertainty. |
| 主权项 |
1. A computer method for performing analysis of operational activities with respect to uncertainty data, the method comprising:
associating, by a computer processing device, numerical values with respect to operational activities; defining, by the computer processing device, that the associated numerical values comprises a set of rights and obligations for each of two or more parties to a CPD with respect to the operational activities; establishing, by the computer processing device, a data set comprising uncertain potential future events (SPFE) of the CPD; linking, by the computer processing device, the associated numerical values to the created data set; creating, by the computer processing device, a data record that comprises a contingent performance deliverable (CPD) having data specifying two or more parties to the CPD and the associated numerical values; storing, by the computer processing device, one or more created data records in the computer processing device; calculating, by the computer processing device, probability distribution function (PDF) data based on the created data records; generating, by the computer processing device, data based on the calculated PDF data, wherein the generated data comprises a set of values; recommending, by the computer processing device, actions to the operational activities from the set of values comprised in the generated data, wherein the recommended actions includes actions of at least one of the parties to the CPDs under the specified rights and obligations of the CPDs over the SPFEs of the CPDs; associating, by the computer processing device, the set of values of the generated data to data that specifies one or more sources of uncertainty related to the operational activities of the at least one organizational entity, or to a party to one or more of the CPDs; producing, by the computer processing device, a set of values based on the generated data that specify the recommended actions; and indicating, by the computer processing device, results of implementing the recommended actions on the operational activities of at least one party to the CPD from the produced set of values. |
