METHOD FOR MODELING MEDIUM AND LONG TERM WIND POWER OUTPUT MODEL OPTIMALLY OPERATING IN MEDIUM AND LONG TERM IN POWER SYSTEM

摘要

Disclosed is a method for modeling a medium and long term wind power output model optimally operating in a medium and long term in a power system. By calculating the wind power output of the power system during daily peak time period, daily valley time period, and daily shoulder load time period, and optimizing wind power output data during the daily shoulder load time period, the capacity substitute benefit of wind power generation is rationally taken into account, the operation reliability level of the power system is guaranteed, the bidirectional peak regulation characteristic of wind power output is considered, the peak regulation balance of the power system is guaranteed, the benefits of energy conservation and emission reduction of wind power resources are fully exerted, the highest utilization rate of the wind power generation capacity is guaranteed, the feature of low wind power schedulability is fully taken into account, the randomness and volatility of wind power output are correctly simulated, the practical situation of a simulation project optimally operating in a medium and long term in the power system is met, and the purpose of better calculating the randomness, the volatility, the regionalism and bidirectional peak regulation performance of wind power generation and a correlation between same and loads is achieved.