SUPPLY RISK DETECTION

摘要

Systems and methods for supply risk detection are disclosed. In some embodiments, a method includes identifying fulfillment-related features corresponding to an item to be stored in inventory. The method also includes selecting a subset of the fulfillment-related features that is correlated with a supply constraint associated with the item. For example, in some cases the correlation is based on historical supply constraint data. The method further includes building a supply risk early detection model based, at least in part, upon the subset fulfillment-related features and evaluating the model to determine a probability that a third-party vendor will suffer a shortage of the item, as well as an expected duration of the shortage. Upon evaluation of the model, the method may include creating a purchasing plan for the item that takes into account the probability of the shortage and the expected duration of the shortage.

主权项

1. A method, comprising:
performing, by one or more computers:
identifying fulfillment-related features corresponding to an item to be stored in inventory, wherein the item is supplied by a third-party vendor;selecting a subset of the fulfillment-related features that is correlated with a supply constraint associated with the item, wherein the correlation is based on historical supply constraint data;building a supply risk early detection model based, at least in part, upon the subset of fulfillment-related features;evaluating the supply risk early detection model to determine a probability that the third-party vendor will suffer a shortage of the item and an expected duration of the shortage; andcreating a purchasing plan for the item that takes into account:
the probability of the shortage,the expected duration of the shortage,an associated cost of buying additional units of the item, andan associated cost of not having sufficient supply of the item to serve an expected demand for the item.