Modeling user activity information associated with a network system

摘要

Systems and methods to model user activity information associated with a network system are provided. A particular method includes receiving, at a computing device, a request for user activity information associated with selected channels of a television access network that provides multimedia content to users. The method includes executing a model of user activity associated with the television access network at the computing device. The model estimates the user activity information as user multimedia access demands during particular time periods within a day. The method also includes storing the user activity information at a computer-readable non-transitory storage medium.

主权项

1. A computer-implemented method, comprising:
receiving, at a computing device, a request for user activity information associated with a television access network that provides multimedia content to users; generating, at the computing device, the user activity information based on execution of a model of a plurality of set-top boxes, wherein executing the model comprises, for a set-top box of the plurality of set-top boxes, determining to change a power state of the set-top box or change channels at the set-top box based on a rate moderating function, wherein the rate moderating function is based on an indication of periodic spikes in aggregate rates of changing the power state or the channels at a set of set-top boxes, and wherein determining to change the power state of the set-top box or change channels at the set-top box includes determining that the set-top box enters a sub-state of the set-top box based on a mixture exponential distribution, and determining a period of time that the set-top box is to remain in an on-state, an off-state, or tuned to a particular channel of the television access network while in the sub-state; and storing the user activity information.