Method for analyzing risks in a technical project

摘要

A method analyzes risks in a technical project for developing or manufacturing a technical system or technical components or a technical process, wherein the following steps are carried out in a risk identification process: a) provision or determination of a large number of qualitative evaluations of risks in the technical project; b) determination of a large number of quantitative evaluations of the risks; c) comparison of the qualitative and quantitative evaluations for each risk, as a result of which a comparison outcome is established for each risk; d) definition of a permissible region of comparison outcomes; e) classification of the risks that are situated outside the permissible region as unacceptable risks; f) analysis of the unacceptable risks in order to identify uncertainties in the risk analysis and further risks.

主权项

1. A method of analyzing risks in developing at least a portion of a technical system, comprising:
performing a large number of technical evaluations of risks in the technical system; performing a large number of monetary evaluations of the risks; comparing the technical and monetary evaluations for each risk to produce a comparison outcome for each risk; defining a permissible region by setting the monetary evaluations of risks against technical evaluations of the risks; classifying each risk having a comparison outcome outside of the permissible region as an implausible risk; and analyzing, by a processor, the implausible risks in order to identify uncertainties in the analyzing of risks and to identify further risks, and wherein the risks comprise warranty risks, wherein each risk is assigned a probability of occurrence and a monetary amount of damage upon occurrence, the monetary evaluation being a function of the probability of occurrence multiplied by the monetary amount of damage, and the probability of occurrence of a warranty risk is probability of damage covered by a warranty to a technical component within a predefined operating period of the technical component multiplied by a quantity of technical components and a monetary amount of damage covered by the warranty for the technical component.