Method and systems for design and operation of a prediction market. A plurality of security bundles and a plurality of payoff vectors may be defined, such that each payoff vector in the plurality of payoff vectors is associated with at least one outcome in a plurality of outcomes. A prediction market engine may be provided for determining a price for each security bundle in the plurality of security bundles by using at least one processor to minimize a convex function over a convex set comprising a convex hull of the plurality of payoff vectors.
申请公布号
WO2012154640(A3)
申请公布日期
2013.01.17
申请号
WO2012US36724
申请日期
2012.05.07
申请人
PRESIDENT AND FELLOWS OF HARVARD COLLEGE;CHEN, YILING;VAUGHAN, JENNIFER, WORTMAN;ABERNETHY, JACOB, DUNCAN