| 摘要 |
Method for evaluating the producibility of a wind farm which, commencing from the measurement of the wind in such wind farm (s) and in a period (w), - from the analysis of the historical data of all the networks located in the area surrounding (s), from an analysis of the data measuring climate variability in the period (w) compared with normal values, from the curve power [CP] of the generator - determines the expected year long windiness [VExpected s ] in the wind farm (s) during the 12 months and, therefore, makes possible the calculation of the wind farm's (s) producibility [Ps] consisting in multiplying the power curve [CP] of a specific turbine by the expected windiness of the wind farm (s): [Ps] = [CP] * [VExpected s]; being the initial measurement affected by all the orography-generated effects and forecast model dynamics and from the specific trend of the wind during the period of measurement (w). The following operational phases are previewed: i- normalization of regional data from unusual fluctuations; ii- correlation of local climate variables with regional climate variable iii- normalization of data measured in s, from climate fluctuations; iv- year-long forecast; v- model timing. |
