PREDICTION MODEL FOR SUMMER TYPHOON TRACK

摘要

PURPOSE: A method for predicting the number of typhoon in each region and a method for predicting the track of the typhoon in the summer are provided to accurately predict the track of the typhoon from June to October in the entire of northwest pacific region. CONSTITUTION: Typhoon is active at the northwest pacific region from June to October. The track of the typhoon is classified into seven groups(S10). The number of typhoon corresponding to each group is predicted(S20). The distribution of the typhoon for a target period is obtained based on the average tract distribution of the typhoon in seven groups. The entire of northwest pacific region is predicted(S30).