Rotor Angle Stability Prediction Using Post Disturbance Voltage Trajectories

摘要

A new method for predicting the rotor angle stability status of a power system immediately after a large disturbance is presented. The proposed two stage method involves estimation of the similarity of post-fault voltage trajectories of the generator buses after the disturbance to some pre-identified templates and then prediction of the stability status using a classifier which takes the similarity values calculated at the different generator buses as inputs. The typical bus voltage variation patterns after a disturbance for both stable and unstable situations are identified from a database of simulations using fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm. The same database is used to train a support vector machine classifier which takes proximity of the actual voltage variations to the identified templates as features.