| 摘要 |
A system and method for predicting the effect of patient self-care actions on a disease control parameter. A future disease control parameter value X(t<SUB>j</SUB>) at time t<SUB>j </SUB>is determined from a prior disease control parameter value X(t<SUB>i</SUB>) at time t<SUB>i </SUB>based on an optimal control parameter value R(t<SUB>j</SUB>) at time t<SUB>j</SUB>, the difference between the prior disease control parameter value X(t<SUB>i</SUB>) and an optimal control parameter value R(t<SUB>i</SUB>) at time t<SUB>i</SUB>, and a set of differentials between patient self-care parameters having patient self-care values S<SUB>M</SUB>(t<SUB>i</SUB>) at time t<SUB>i </SUB>and optimal self-care parameters having optimal self-care values O<SUB>M</SUB>(t<SUB>i</SUB>) at time t<SUB>i</SUB>. The differentials are multiplied by corresponding scaling factors K<SUB>M</SUB>. The system includes an input device for entering the patient self-care values S<SUB>M</SUB>(t<SUB>i</SUB>). A memory stores the optimal control parameter values R(t<SUB>i</SUB>) and R(t<SUB>j</SUB>), the prior disease control parameter value X(t<SUB>i</SUB>), the optimal self-care values O<SUB>M</SUB>(t<SUB>i</SUB>), and the scaling factors K<SUB>M</SUB>. A processor in communication with the input device and memory calculates the future disease control parameter value X(t<SUB>j</SUB>). A display is connected to the processor to display the future disease control parameter value X(t<SUB>j</SUB>) to a patient.
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