Method of evaluating long-term average portfolio risk and return for cyclical corporation

摘要

A method of evaluating long-term average portfolio risk and return for a cyclical corporation includes the steps of obtaining historical pricing information for financial instruments used for a relevant historical period and dividing the relevant historical period up into time segments. The method also includes calculating a gain or loss for each financial instrument in a portfolio for the time segments over the relevant historical period and obtaining actual cash level for each time segment and dividing up the actual cash level of the corporation between asset classes to determine what the portfolio is invested in. The method further includes the steps of determining an average return and risk for a typical one of the time segments over the historical period and using an optimization framework to pick out the most efficient portfolios in risk versus return.