Software predictive model of technology acceptance

摘要

Growth of the adoption of an innovation in a social group may be predicted. Web pages are designated in which to search for reference to an innovation, and each of the web pages is associated with one or more stages of innovation adoption. Data are automatically gathered concerning the frequency of reference to the innovation in the individual web pages, statistical information is derived automatically about the innovation's present stage of adoption from the gathered data and from the association of the individual web pages with one or more successive stages of technology development. A prediction of the future growth of the adoption of the innovation is made based on the statistical information.