Method of short term forecasting of moderate size earthquakes

摘要

Foreshocks are key to understand the dynamics of earthquake processes, thus, they can lead to short-term earthquake prediction. The method consists the steps of detecting/observing a foreshock clustering/nucleation zone, which grew over a 100 hours period prior to the main-shock occurrence, and studying the deepening of nucleation zone to foresee a hypocenter of a future moderate size reservoir-triggered earthquake at the base of the seismogenic layer