METHOD AND APPARATUS FOR ESTIMATING PEAK TRAFFIC, PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING PEAK TRAFFIC, AND STORAGE MEDIUM HAVING THE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING PEAK TRAFFIC RECORDED THEREON

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To estimate peak traffic with high reliability by taking account of stochastic fluctuations.

SOLUTION: A method for estimating peak traffic includes the steps of: estimating a probability distribution which data whose value exceeds a prescribed reference value follows among received measurement data of a network of a noted communication service and selecting the right end of the probability distribution to be the estimate value of the peak traffic; dividing the received measurement data of the network of the noted communication service into a plurality of groups; acquiring data taking a maximum value in each of the divided groups; estimating the probability distribution which the acquired maximum value data follow; and selecting the right end of the probability distribution to be the estimated value of the peak traffic.

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