| 摘要 |
A system and method for providing a monthly cumulative prediction of pharmaceutical sales of a particular pharmaceutical, or group of pharmaceuticals, in a current month is disclosed. In particular, the technique of the present invention provides for extrapolating a sample of sales data for a given day across that entire day, extrapolating sales data for at least 14 prior days across an entire month adjusting the monthly cumulative prediction by comparing past predicted values with past actual values adjusting the monthly cumulative prediction to account for sales anomalies created by national or local holidays and provides confidence intervals indicating the believed accuracy of the current monthly cumulative prediction. |
