Device, method, and medium for predicting a probability of an occurrence of a data

摘要

In a Bayes mixture probability density calculator for calculating Bayes mixture probability density which reduces a logarithmic loss A modified Bayes mixture probability density is calculated by mixing raditional Bayes mixture probability density calculated on given model S with a small pary of Bayes mixture probability density for exponential fiber bundle on the S. Likewise, a prediction probability calculator is configured by including the Bayes mixture probability density calculator, and by using Jeffredys prior distribution in traditional Bayes procedure on the S.