| 摘要 |
System and method of forecasting space weather (at Earth or another location ) based on identifying complex patterns in solar, interplanetary, or geophysic al data. These data may include current (103, 104) or historical (105) measurements and/or modeled data (107) (predicted or simulated). Data patter ns (both non-event and event-related) are identified (even when another event i s occurring). Such patterns may vary with recent/cyclic variations in solar (e.g. solar max/min), interplanetary, or geophysical activity. Embodiments a re built around: templates (200), expert systems, neural networks, hybrid syste ms comprising combinations of these, and multimodal intelligent systems. Forecasts are customized and/or updated as new data arise and as systems are dynamically modified (e.g. via feedback between system parts). Numerical or other indexes are generated representing forecasts, associated confidence levels, etc.
|
