| 摘要 |
A method of predicting the failure of a rock formation surrounding a subterranean cavity, including a measuring set of parameters relating to pressure conditions and stresses in the rock formation surrounding the cavity; using the set of parameters to determine a rock strength; determining a first characteristic length relating to the size of the cavity; determining a second characteristic length relating to the grain size of the rock formation surrounding the cavity; using the first and second characteristic lengths to determine a correction for the rock strength; correcting said rock strength; and using a failure criterion and the corrected rock strength to predict a condition under which the rock formation is expected to produce debris. The results of the prediction can be used to monitor wellbore stability while drilling or optimize the production parameters for a hydrocarbon reservoir. |
