System, method and article of manufacture for using receiver operating curves to evaluate predictive utility

摘要

An electronic information system is provided for determining predictive utility of prediction techniques in ascertaining which items are valued. The information system includes an input mechanism for obtaining a set of measurements of actual value of items presented to a user. The items presented to the user are derived from a plurality of items by utilizing predictions from a prediction technique. A processor is operatively coupled to the input mechanism to generate a quality metric receiver operating curve (ROC) from the set of measurements which corresponds to a measure of effectiveness of the prediction technique in predicting which items are valued by the user. In addition, a method is provided for operating this electronic information system. Also, a storage device readable by a computer system for implementing this method is provided.