| 摘要 |
<p>PURPOSE:To enable highly precise prediction regardless of the number of passengers by predicting the arrival time and departure time of a train not from only physical restriction conditions of train operation, but in consideration of train delay due to artificial influence. CONSTITUTION:The event process part of a partial simulation execution means 30 calculates the arrival time by an arrival and departure time calculating means based upon the physical restriction conditions of the train operation; when departure event processing is performed, the departure time calculated by the arrival and departure time calculating means on the basis of the physical restriction conditions of the train operation is compared with the departure time calculated by a departure time calculating means 70 under artificial influence and the larger time is decided as the departure time predicted value of the train. Thus, the train departure time is predicted in consideration of artificial cause of train delay such as morning and evening rush hour time bands wherein the density of people is large, a daytime where people are not crowded, a nighttime, train kinds deeply relating with the needs of passengers, departure stations, destination stations, etc.</p> |
