SYSTEMS AND METHODS FOR PREDICTIVE RELIABILITY MINING

摘要

Systems and methods for predictive reliability mining are provided that enable predicting of unexpected emerging failures in future without waiting for actual failures to start occurring in significant numbers. Sets of discriminative Diagnostic Trouble Codes (DTCs) from connected machines in a population are identified before failure of the associated parts. A temporal conditional dependence model based on the temporal dependence between the failure of the parts from past failure data and the identified sets of discriminative DTCs is generated. Future failures are predicted based on the generated temporal conditional dependence and root cause analysis of the predicted future failures is performed for predictive reliability mining. The probability of failure is computed based on both occurrence and non-occurrence of DTCs. The root cause analysis enables identifying a subset of the population when an early warning is generated and also when an early warning is not generated.

主权项

1. A computer implemented method for predictive reliability mining in a population of connected machines, the method comprising:
identifying sets of discriminative Diagnostic Trouble Codes (DTCs) from DTCs generated preceding failure, the sets of discriminative DTCs corresponding to associated pre-defined parts of the connected machines; generating a temporal conditional dependence model based on temporal dependence between failure of the pre-defined parts from past failure data and the identified sets of discriminative DTCs; and predicting future failures based on the generated temporal conditional dependence model and occurrence and non-occurrence of DTCs.