System and method of designing models in a feedback loop

摘要

A method and system for designing models is disclosed. The method includes selecting a plurality of models for modeling a common event of interest. The method further includes aggregating the results of the models and analyzing each model compared to the aggregate result to obtain comparative information. The method also includes providing the information back to the plurality of models to design more accurate models through a feedback loop.

主权项

1. A method of designing models comprising:
a. selecting a plurality of predictive models to model a common event of interest; b. modeling the common event in each of the predictive models; c. aggregating results from said modeling by inputting the results from said modeling and measurement data to create an aggregate result using Bayesian model aggregation (BMA); d. comparing the results from each modeling activity to the aggregate result to obtain comparative information; e. providing the comparative information back to the plurality of predictive models through a feedback loop; and f. modifying at least one of the plurality of predictive models based upon information received from said feedback loop to refine the predictive models.