| 摘要 |
Optimizing a business performance forecast includes: projecting, based on a projection algorithm, a performance forecast for a period of time, the projection algorithm including inputs having a weight and the projection algorithm associated with a confidence score; capturing results of actual performance for the period of time; comparing the results to the performance forecast, including determining whether the difference between the results and the forecast is less than a threshold; if the difference is less than the threshold, increasing the confidence score associated with the projection algorithm; if the difference is not less than the threshold: iteratively, until a difference between the results and a new forecast is less than the threshold: modifying the projection algorithm; projecting a new forecast based on the modified projection algorithm; and determining whether the difference between the results of actual performance and the new forecast is less than the predetermined threshold. |
