THERMAL LOAD PREDICTING DEVICE, DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM, THERMAL LOAD PREDICTING METHOD AND PROGRAM

摘要

This thermal load predicting device (10) is provided with a thermal load calculating unit (130), an operation performance data processing unit (140), and a model correcting module (150). The thermal load calculating unit (130) uses a thermal load model (131) which defines the relation between environmental conditions relating to the space to be air-conditioned and the thermal load of said space, and calculates the value of the thermal load from measured values of the environmental conditions. Further, the operation performance data processing unit (140) measures the thermal load on the basis of the operating state of an air conditioning system (42). The model correcting module (150) corrects the thermal load model (131) by comparing values of the thermal load calculated by the thermal load calculating unit (130) and values of the thermal load measured by the operation performance data processing unit (140). Further, the thermal load calculating unit (130) uses the thermal load model (131) corrected by the model correcting module (150) to predict the value of the thermal load from predicted values of the environmental conditions.