Method and System for Forecasting Power Requirements Using Granular Metrics

摘要

A method for modeling power usage within a macrogrid uses data relating to the behavioral patterns and states (“BA”) of the users, data relating to external impacts on power usage and disaggregated power consumption data in at least one premises within the macrogrid (forming “power usage model data”) and thereafter a method of forecasting and predicting future power requirements within the macrogrid uses such power usage model data.

主权项

1. A computer implemented method of modeling power usage within a macrogrid, the macrogrid being within a region, the method comprising:
a) obtaining disaggregated power consumption data in at least one premise within the macrogrid to determine at least one behavioral pattern according to usage behaviors for at least one appliance or device within the macrogrid; b) obtaining data relating to the at least one behavioral pattern and a state of a user; c) obtaining data relating to at least one external impact on power usage; d) using the obtained data from one or more of a) to c) to create an individual consumer forecast of power usage, said consumer forecast being collectively aggregated across a plurality of users; e) using data from one or more of a) to d) to perform a demographic analysis; f) collecting macrogrid aggregate power consumption data for the region; g) determining power consumption requirements across the macrogrid for the region using data from at least one of a) to e); and h) determining future power requirements within the macrogrid, using the data obtained in at least one of a) to g).