| 摘要 |
<p><P>PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To estimate a bid curve by estimating marginal cost curves, reserves and profits of other transaction participants. <P>SOLUTION: The marginal cost curves, reserves and profits of the other transaction participants are set on the basis of a contracted price of a power exchange and an actual value of an agreement amount, and the marginal cost curves, reserves and profits of the other transaction participants are updated so as to minimize differences among predicted past contracted price, agreement amount and actual values on the basis of bit curves of the other providers and the bid curve of one's company from the set marginal cost curves, reserves and profits to thereby calculate the most accurate estimated value. The estimated value of the marginal cost curves, reserves and profits of the other transaction participants are used to create a bid curve, so that future contracted price and agreement amount can be predicted. <P>COPYRIGHT: (C)2010,JPO&INPIT</p> |
