摘要 |
The present invention relates to a computing system (100) for predicting a curtailed consumption of fluid comprising:- a module (10) for collecting consumption data (D_CONSi, i∈[l,n]) comprising information relating to an actual consumption of fluid of a plurality of consumers (CONSi, i∈[l,n]) during a learning phase (J), - a processing circuit (20) for aggregating the consumption data collected (D_CONSi) by groups (Gj, j∈[l,m]) as a function of at least one determined descriptive variable associated with each consumer (CONSi) and contained in the consumption data (D_CONSi), - a processor (30) for determining on the basis of the aggregated consumption data (D_CONSi) a curve of global load (Cgj) for each group (Gj), - a computer (40) for computing a model of extraction of a load curve (Ccj), termed heating and/or air conditioning, on the basis of each global load curve (Cgj) and of meteorological data (D_METj), and - a predictor (50) for computing a prediction of a curtailed consumption of fluid for each group (Gj) during a forthcoming curtailment phase (J+l). |