ESTIMATION METHOD AND DEVICE FOR POWER GENERATION OUTPUT OF PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION FACILITY

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To estimate power generation output of a plurality of photovoltaic power generation facilities connected to an electric power system for every varying period component.

SOLUTION: Measurement data on power generation output of photovoltaic power generation facilities at a predetermined representative spot is decomposed into varying period components. Data of the decomposed varying period components at the representative point and an introduction amount of the photovoltaic power generation facilities of the electric power system are input to a model expression of each varying period component for computing the reduction ratio of output variation smoothed through the composition of previously derived photovoltaic power generation output at the representative point and photovoltaic power generation output at another spot of the electric power system to compute photovoltaic power generation output of each varying period component.

COPYRIGHT: (C)2013,JPO&INPIT