Advanced Statistical Detection of Emerging Trends

摘要

Advanced statistical detection of emerging trends in a process is disclosed, based on a Repeated Weighted Geometric Cumulative Sum analysis, which may be combined with time window-based estimation of proportions and related thresholds. Threshold derivation and significance computation is based on parallel simulation runs with power-exponential tail approximations. A battery of tests using the statistical theory of sequential analysis and change-point theory in combination with targets is used to evaluate non-conforming conditions in a process. Trends in fall-out rates are detected based on non-time-to-failure data that corresponds to counts of failures in consecutive time periods, with possibility of delayed input.