| 摘要 |
FIELD: medicine, therapy, pulmonology. ^ SUBSTANCE: the present innovation deals with predicting the development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), determining clinical symptoms and risk factors out of life anamnesis: dyspnea, passive smoking, sputum production, cough, crepitation in lungs, episodes of cough with sputum being more than 3 wk, sex, snore. It is necessary to establish their gradations and digital values. Then one should estimate prognostic coefficients F1, F2, F3 by the following formulas: F1=-4.10-3.35*A1-2.68*A2-1.74*A3-1.22*A4-0.48*A5-0.10*A6-0.20*A7-0.32*A8; F2=-5.69-3.32*A1+4.62*A2-1.21*A3-0.08*A4-0.79*A5-0.08*A6-0.25*A7+0.01*A8; F3=-8.14+7.47*A1-1.79*A2-1.16*A3-0.95*A4-0.19*A5-0.76*A6+0.69*A7+0.38*A8; F4=-12.4+3.90*A1-0.05*A2+5.87*A3+3.17*A4+2.14*A5+0.98*A6+0.09*A7+0.20*A8. At F4 being above F1 or F2 or F3 or F4 one should predict high risk for COPD development. At F2 being above F1, or F3, or F4 - low risk for COPD development. The innovation enables to carry out early onset of prophylactic measures. ^ EFFECT: higher accuracy and efficiency of prediction. ^ 3 ex, 1 tbl |
