| 摘要 |
FIELD: geophysics. SUBSTANCE: process of prediction of geophysical quantities consists in determination of dependence between magnitudes of geophysical quantity and proper longitudes of each planet and moon for each i= 1,2...,N, where N is length of initial series, during study of particular geophysical quantity, positions of planets and moon for them during preceding years. Anticipated geophysical value is found by known longitudes of planet and moon in i-th year for each planet by dependence established without regard to this quantity in i-th year. Deviation of anticipated prognostic quantity from factual one is found for each prediction. Geophysical quantity of i-th year is reconstructed in initial series. Average coming true of predictions of many years is found and prognostic value of geophysical quantity is determined for each combination of planets and moon by way of summing of each of obtained sums of differences between each of obtained prognostic value of geophysical quantity and its average value of many years. Average coming true of predictions of many years for each version is determined by known indices of evaluations of coming true of predictions. Combinations of planets with best indices of coming true of predictions are selected and used for prediction of geophysical quantity for coming years. EFFECT: enhanced authenticity of predictions, improved advancement and feasibility to create conditions for making systematic predictions. 6 dwg
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