| 摘要 |
PURPOSE:To realize a management which can cope with a demand varied from day to day and scarcely generates a forecasting error, by correcting a forecasting result obtained by a Kalman filter method, by a correcting factor based on a weather change or a singular day. CONSTITUTION:Information of the primary forecasting water-delivery Qi calculated by a conventional Kalman filter method is obtained from an operation processing part 2. The information of the water-delivery Qi is inputted to the first forecasting water-delivery correcting part 3 and corrected by correcting factors DELTAQ1, DELTAQ1' based on a weather change from a weather change input part 4, and the selected secondary forecasting water-delivery Qi' is outputted. Thereafter, information of the water-delivery Qi' is sent to the second forecasting water-delivery correcting part 5 and corrected by correcting factors + or -DELTAQ2 based on a singular day from a singular day/usual day change input part 6, and information of the final forecasting water-delivery Q corresponding to the respective modes selected by switches 6a, 6b is determined. |
