| 摘要 |
PURPOSE: To improve service efficiency by simulating the future operation of an elevator system for respective choices by a Monte-Carlo method, estimating influence and performing judgment analysis in real time based on the result in the case of selecting among a plurality of operations. CONSTITUTION: It is assumed that the two judgment points of a departure point and a stop point are present in respective elevators. Then, a group controller 7 senses arrival through respective elevator controllers 6 and accesses the condition data of the respective elevators and floor calling condition data at the time of arriving at the judgment point. Then, a possible choice is defined by an operation model. Then, a realization value is selected at random for unknown quantities associated with judgment conditions and simulation is performed. Then, the cost of the choice is calculated and the choice of the lowest cost is selected. For the unknown quantities associated with the judgment conditions, the number of passengers present behind floor calling and future new external circumstances for a target floor, etc., are taken into consideration and a fixed number of the various realization values are selected. |
