| 摘要 |
<p>There is disclosed a Risk Balance sheet method which presents rationalised statistical information on predicted future performance of business activities, or predicted decision outcomes. The Risk Balance sheet method of this invention process identifies potential outcomes of business activities or decisions. In the method, a risk model is applied, to quantify the likelihood and value of the possible outcomes. The model accounts for possible combinations of key business conditions, represented as probability distributions. The Risk Balance sheet method produces risk and return data that can be graphically represented as a Risk Profile. Alternatively, the data can be summarised textually as a Risk Balance sheet method in a format that is similar to a traditional accounting balance sheet. The Risk Balance sheet method enables prospective returns to be assessed in relation to the risks that must be incurred to seek them. The Risk Balance sheet method summarises risk and return data as key Metrics, which are discrete quantitative measures that can be compared with criteria that define risk tolerability.</p> |
